Thursday, 18 December 2025

Can You Afford to Retire? Use This Calculator

I have always wonder if I am ready to retire or force to retire (due to layoffs) base on my assets. However, I was not able to find one that is able to do projections that includes SRS and CPF Life payout. Thus I started out this mini-project to come out with one that is able to show how long my retirement funds can last and till at what age. I have also included the Monte Carlo simulation to stress test this portfolio and tell you the percentage of success base on your input parameters.

Most of the input fields are self-explainatory. I will explain these for clarity.

Sunday, 13 April 2025

May be worth having a look at this asset class now - from Howard Marks memo

 

Howard Marks is a veteran investor and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management. He published his memo about his observations and thoughts on the market, and they are widely read by many investors, including Warren Buffet. In his recent memo and interviews, he mentioned that the credit market offers a better deal now than equities. After some research, I found these 2 Etfs, one is listed in the Singapore Stock Exchange and one listed in London Stock Exchange, so that investors will not be subjected to the 30% tax. 

Saturday, 12 April 2025

I added these over the last few weeks of market volatility

It was a roller coaster ride the last few weeks with major indices crashing into the Bear market zone. If you have read my previous blog here, you will know that the 2nd tranche of warchest will be deployed into the index etf due to the market condition then. The approach is mechanical, we are not economist, dont need to know reason why market dropped, just need to know if market has presented a value at any time. In a volatile market like now, one does not have to worry too much if you have done your proper asset allocation as in the post here.

Apart from the index etf, I have also invested some bullets into the Singapore market. Most of the value investors have waited long as the market(except for Reits) was expensive then. And this is what I bought.

Monday, 31 March 2025

How I invest (Mechanically) during a market correction and it works

Just last week, as major market indices dipped into the correction zones, I finally had the chance to open up my war chest and deployed first tranche of cash into the market. This is all thanks to the current US President, whom has made decisions to roll out policies that is causing uncertainty to the US and world economy. And Mr Market hates uncertainty, and thus the sell off follows. 
In the past few weeks, I've seen financial youtuber and analyst telling investors to buy the dip. Some of them said when the indexes correct to 10%, they will start buying, some use certain economic indicators to determine when to start buying. But none shared the step by step method to show how to buy during a market correction. In this post, I will be sharing the method that I am using and why I started buying last week.

Sunday, 12 January 2025

Navigating 2025 Market Uncertainty: The Classic 60/40 Portfolio Approach

Happy 2025 All. As 2025 unfolds, many analysts are anticipating a potential market downturn fueled by high interest rates, slowing global growth, and persistent geopolitical tensions. Adding to the uncertainty, the U.S. presidential election, with Donald Trump emerging as the next US President, is injecting a layer of volatility into markets. 

As part of a defensive strategy, many have suggested to using alternative investment instruments and diversified models like the All-Weather Portfolio to mitigate risks from market volatility. While these approaches offer innovative solutions, in this article, I aim to demonstrate—using data-driven insights—why the classic 60/40 equities and bonds allocation continues to be a reliable and effective strategy.