Sensible investing using both FA and TA ...
When a solid blue-chip stock suddenly pulls back, the knee-jerk reaction for most investors is to jump in and buy the dip. Singapore banks are well known for their strong capital ratios, resilient ROEs, and dominant regional franchises, so buying the dip feels like a no-brainer.
However, I base my decisions on market data and statistical evidence rather than pure emotion. As an OCBC shareholder, that’s why I'm doing nothing for now.
It is one of the oldest ironies in equity markets: a company reports a double-digit decline in earnings, and yet, its stock price starts climbing. Genting Singapore’s latest 1H2026 financial results look, at first glance, like a bit of a train wreck. Headline net profit attributable to shareholders plummeted 34% year-on-year to $156.1 million.
Yet, the market responded by bidding the stock up after the results announced. Equity markets are forward-looking discounting machines. While headline accounting figures tell us where a company has been, sequential operational metrics tell us where it is going. When you peel back the layers of Genting's interim statement, the evidence suggests that the business structurally bottomed in the first quarter of the year, and a quiet operational turnaround has already begun.
While retail traders are panicking and calling this a AI bubble has burst, I just finished scaling into a core position in NVDA. This is a speculative opportunity trade. It might seem counterintuitive to buy when the price has dropped from the $220+ highs of June, but my simple logic is driven by a very specific signals that just fired.
The Setup: A Rare Confluence
We are currently in a CORRECTION regime, which is exactly where "asymmetric wealth transfer" happens. Over the last few weeks, as shown in the chart below, my model lit up with a classic cluster: a BUY_T2 on June 12, a rare CYCLE_T3 on July 6, and another BUY_T2 on July 24.