Monday, 31 March 2025

How I invest (Mechanically) during a market correction and it works

Just last week, as major market indices dipped into the correction zones, I finally had the chance to open up my war chest and deployed first tranche of cash into the market. This is all thanks to the current US President, whom has made decisions to roll out policies that is causing uncertainty to the US and world economy. And Mr Market hates uncertainty, and thus the sell off follows. 
In the past few weeks, I've seen financial youtuber and analyst telling investors to buy the dip. Some of them said when the indexes correct to 10%, they will start buying, some use certain economic indicators to determine when to start buying. But none shared the step by step method to show how to buy during a market correction. In this post, I will be sharing the method that I am using and why I started buying last week.

Sunday, 12 January 2025

Navigating 2025 Market Uncertainty: The Classic 60/40 Portfolio Approach

Happy 2025 All. As 2025 unfolds, many analysts are anticipating a potential market downturn fueled by high interest rates, slowing global growth, and persistent geopolitical tensions. Adding to the uncertainty, the U.S. presidential election, with Donald Trump emerging as the next US President, is injecting a layer of volatility into markets. 

As part of a defensive strategy, many have suggested to using alternative investment instruments and diversified models like the All-Weather Portfolio to mitigate risks from market volatility. While these approaches offer innovative solutions, in this article, I aim to demonstrate—using data-driven insights—why the classic 60/40 equities and bonds allocation continues to be a reliable and effective strategy.

Saturday, 7 December 2024

Can Your Portfolio Survive the Lost Decade? Mine Did (With Backtesting)!

In my previous post, I discussed using a 5.5% return to sustain a consistent drawdown for retirement expenses, primarily through investments in index funds or ETFs. In this post, I’ll dive into how I’m currently implementing this strategy as I prepare for my future retirement.

Since this is my retirement fund, ensuring its resilience during economic downturns is critical. For instance, it’s essential that the portfolio remains sustainable even during harsh periods like the "Lost Decade", a time when the return of the S&P 500 was Negative. To address this, I will be backtesting my portfolio against this worst-case scenario in market history. This helps me evaluate its performance during extended periods of low or negative returns, ensuring that my strategy is robust enough to withstand such challenges. I’ll also explain why this portfolio is particularly suitable for my retirement goals.